Minority Report

Columbus, IN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Bartholomew County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 52°   Low 39°   Rain 58%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 57 points, 3 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 29% against a group average of 58%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—37°29%
US model (GFS)51°38°36%
European model (ECMWF)52°42°82%
Canadian model (GEM)52°38°86%
The average52°39°58%

Friday, November 13

High 45°   Low 34°   Rain 26%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 36 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 50% against a group average of 26%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°31°26%
US model (GFS)44°34°16%
European model (ECMWF)47°36°50%
Canadian model (GEM)43°36°14%
The average45°34°26%

Saturday, November 14

High 48°   Low 29°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 2 points, 4 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°28°2%
US model (GFS)48°30°1%
European model (ECMWF)46°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°28°0%
The average48°29°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 50°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°30°0%
US model (GFS)51°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)49°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°22°0%
The average50°30°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.