Minority Report

Columbus, KS — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Cherokee County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 59°   Low 35°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—30°0%
US model (GFS)60°37°0%
European model (ECMWF)58°38°0%
German model (ICON)58°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)59°33°0%
The average59°35°0%

Friday, November 13

High 48°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°27°0%
US model (GFS)47°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)47°33°0%
German model (ICON)49°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)49°26°0%
The average48°29°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 53°   Low 27°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°35°5%
US model (GFS)54°22°0%
European model (ECMWF)50°30°0%
German model (ICON)55°26°0%
Canadian model (GEM)53°21°0%
The average53°27°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 54°   Low 35°   Rain 22%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 43 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 53% against a group average of 22%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°35°16%
US model (GFS)57°38°17%
European model (ECMWF)53°34°10%
German model (ICON)56°34°15%
Canadian model (GEM)50°33°53%
The average54°35°22%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.