Minority Report

Columbus, MT — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Stillwater County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 62°   Low 36°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—31°0%
US model (GFS)61°42°0%
European model (ECMWF)62°38°0%
German model (ICON)66°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)60°38°0%
The average62°36°0%

Friday, November 13

High 61°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service64°31°0%
US model (GFS)60°39°0%
European model (ECMWF)61°37°0%
German model (ICON)64°27°0%
Canadian model (GEM)59°34°0%
The average61°34°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 61°   Low 35°   Rain 3%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 10 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service63°32°2%
US model (GFS)60°42°1%
European model (ECMWF)62°36°0%
German model (ICON)61°31°10%
Canadian model (GEM)60°33°0%
The average61°35°3%

Sunday, November 15

High 58°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°30°0%
US model (GFS)56°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)58°40°0%
German model (ICON)58°29°2%
Canadian model (GEM)58°27°0%
The average58°33°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.