Minority Report

Columbus, NC — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Polk County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 64°   Low 45°   Rain 8%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 33 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 33% against a group average of 8%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—42°1%
US model (GFS)65°44°33%
European model (ECMWF)62°47°4%
German model (ICON)63°47°3%
Canadian model (GEM)67°48°0%
The average64°45°8%

Friday, November 13

High 50°   Low 40°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°38°1%
US model (GFS)49°39°3%
European model (ECMWF)49°41°0%
German model (ICON)51°40°0%
Canadian model (GEM)50°41°0%
The average50°40°1%

Saturday, November 14

High 49°   Low 35°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 4 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°32°0%
US model (GFS)49°33°4%
European model (ECMWF)48°36°0%
German model (ICON)48°39°0%
Canadian model (GEM)49°37°0%
The average49°35°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 55°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°33°0%
US model (GFS)54°31°0%
European model (ECMWF)54°34°0%
German model (ICON)56°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°35°0%
The average55°34°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.