Minority Report

Columbus, OH — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Franklin County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 52°   Low 41°   Rain 91%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 1°, rain spread 27 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 73% against a group average of 91%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—38°91%
US model (GFS)52°42°73%
European model (ECMWF)52°42°100%
German model (ICON)52°43°93%
Canadian model (GEM)51°41°100%
The average52°41°91%

Friday, November 13

High 43°   Low 35°   Rain 75%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 69 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 31% against a group average of 75%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°32°31%
US model (GFS)43°34°75%
European model (ECMWF)42°36°100%
German model (ICON)44°37°83%
Canadian model (GEM)44°35°87%
The average43°35°75%

Saturday, November 14

High 44°   Low 32°   Rain 4%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 11 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°36°2%
US model (GFS)45°32°3%
European model (ECMWF)46°30°3%
German model (ICON)44°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)41°29°11%
The average44°32°4%

Sunday, November 15

High 45°   Low 36°   Rain 1%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°33°0%
US model (GFS)47°42°1%
European model (ECMWF)43°37°0%
German model (ICON)48°38°3%
Canadian model (GEM)41°30°0%
The average45°36°1%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.