Minority Report

Columbus, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Colorado County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 78°   Low 54°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—50°0%
US model (GFS)79°57°0%
European model (ECMWF)76°58°0%
German model (ICON)77°54°0%
Canadian model (GEM)78°52°0%
The average78°54°0%

Friday, November 13

High 77°   Low 50°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service75°51°0%
US model (GFS)79°50°0%
European model (ECMWF)77°54°0%
German model (ICON)77°51°0%
Canadian model (GEM)79°47°0%
The average77°50°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 69°   Low 53°   Rain 33%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 12°, rain spread 62 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 65% against a group average of 33%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service68°55°39%
US model (GFS)70°52°15%
European model (ECMWF)70°56°65%
German model (ICON)63°54°45%
Canadian model (GEM)75°46°3%
The average69°53°33%

Sunday, November 15

High 70°   Low 55°   Rain 79%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 28 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 59% against a group average of 79%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service67°53°81%
US model (GFS)75°58°59%
European model (ECMWF)68°54°87%
German model (ICON)70°54°81%
Canadian model (GEM)72°55°86%
The average70°55°79%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.