Minority Report

Colusa, CA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Colusa County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 72°   Low 45°   Rain 6%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 24 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 24% against a group average of 6%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—50°24%
US model (GFS)71°41°3%
European model (ECMWF)72°45°0%
German model (ICON)72°46°3%
Canadian model (GEM)72°40°0%
The average72°45°6%

Friday, November 13

High 60°   Low 49°   Rain 97%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 11 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service60°44°96%
US model (GFS)59°50°89%
European model (ECMWF)62°49°100%
German model (ICON)61°49°100%
Canadian model (GEM)59°51°100%
The average60°49°97%

Saturday, November 14

High 62°   Low 46°   Rain 13%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 31 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 31% against a group average of 13%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service61°45°31%
US model (GFS)62°47°27%
European model (ECMWF)61°47°0%
German model (ICON)62°46°3%
Canadian model (GEM)62°45°6%
The average62°46°13%

Sunday, November 15

High 57°   Low 48°   Rain 92%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 16 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°44°84%
US model (GFS)62°51°85%
European model (ECMWF)56°50°92%
German model (ICON)54°50°100%
Canadian model (GEM)58°47°100%
The average57°48°92%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.