Minority Report

Comerío Municipio, PR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Comerío Municipio.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 88°   Low 72°   Rain 31%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 72 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 82% against a group average of 31%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—73°10%
US model (GFS)88°72°19%
European model (ECMWF)87°74°82%
German model (ICON)89°70°10%
Canadian model (GEM)89°74°33%
The average88°72°31%

Friday, November 13

High 87°   Low 75°   Rain 32%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 95 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 95% against a group average of 32%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service86°73°20%
US model (GFS)87°74°23%
European model (ECMWF)86°76°24%
German model (ICON)89°76°0%
Canadian model (GEM)87°76°95%
The average87°75°32%

Saturday, November 14

High 87°   Low 75°   Rain 48%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 90 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 93% against a group average of 48%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service86°72°40%
US model (GFS)87°73°21%
European model (ECMWF)85°76°82%
German model (ICON)89°78°3%
Canadian model (GEM)88°77°93%
The average87°75°48%

Sunday, November 15

High 88°   Low 72°   Rain 6%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 13 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service86°71°1%
US model (GFS)88°72°3%
European model (ECMWF)87°73°8%
German model (ICON)90°70°3%
Canadian model (GEM)90°72°14%
The average88°72°6%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.