Minority Report

Concordia, KS — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Cloud County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 52°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—28°0%
US model (GFS)52°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)52°35°0%
German model (ICON)50°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°30°0%
The average52°32°0%

Friday, November 13

High 46°   Low 26°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°28°0%
US model (GFS)43°26°0%
European model (ECMWF)47°30°0%
German model (ICON)46°26°0%
Canadian model (GEM)46°21°0%
The average46°26°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 48°   Low 29°   Rain 4%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 9 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°36°9%
US model (GFS)50°25°2%
European model (ECMWF)48°32°0%
German model (ICON)50°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)46°23°8%
The average48°29°4%

Sunday, November 15

High 50°   Low 34°   Rain 14%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 23 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 29% against a group average of 14%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°32°13%
US model (GFS)49°41°10%
European model (ECMWF)52°33°6%
German model (ICON)53°36°10%
Canadian model (GEM)49°30°29%
The average50°34°14%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.