Minority Report

Condon, OR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Gilliam County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 62°   Low 41°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 14°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service62°44°2%
US model (GFS)69°40°0%
European model (ECMWF)58°38°0%
German model (ICON)67°40°0%
Canadian model (GEM)55°42°0%
The average62°41°0%

Friday, November 13

High 60°   Low 42°   Rain 72%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 36 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 93% against a group average of 72%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service60°39°63%
US model (GFS)58°38°69%
European model (ECMWF)61°44°93%
German model (ICON)60°47°78%
Canadian model (GEM)58°41°57%
The average60°42°72%

Saturday, November 14

High 54°   Low 40°   Rain 25%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 69 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 75% against a group average of 25%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°41°75%
US model (GFS)52°36°26%
European model (ECMWF)55°40°6%
German model (ICON)54°46°10%
Canadian model (GEM)54°38°9%
The average54°40°25%

Sunday, November 15

High 51°   Low 40°   Rain 75%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 37 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 95% against a group average of 75%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°37°75%
US model (GFS)49°40°70%
European model (ECMWF)48°39°76%
German model (ICON)51°42°95%
Canadian model (GEM)56°41°58%
The average51°40°75%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.