Conejos, CO — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Conejos County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 55° Low 25° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 24° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 58° | 26° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 52° | 29° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 56° | 28° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 54° | 20° | 0% |
| The average | 55° | 25° | 0% |
High 54° Low 27° Rain 19%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 75 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 56° | 30° | 75% |
| US model (GFS) | 55° | 28° | 2% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 54° | 28° | 12% |
| German model (ICON) | 54° | 29° | 5% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 53° | 17° | 0% |
| The average | 54° | 27° | 19% |
High 46° Low 29° Rain 58%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 40 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 49° | 24° | 75% |
| US model (GFS) | 43° | 28° | 55% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 46° | 33° | 78% |
| German model (ICON) | 48° | 31° | 43% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 46° | 30° | 38% |
| The average | 46° | 29° | 58% |
High 48° Low 25° Rain 3%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 7 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 50° | 23° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 46° | 30° | 2% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 46° | 28° | 7% |
| German model (ICON) | 51° | 25° | 5% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 47° | 18° | 0% |
| The average | 48° | 25° | 3% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.