Minority Report

Conrad, MT — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Pondera County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 65°   Low 40°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—35°0%
US model (GFS)62°39°0%
European model (ECMWF)68°45°0%
German model (ICON)64°42°0%
Canadian model (GEM)66°39°0%
The average65°40°0%

Friday, November 13

High 61°   Low 35°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service63°34°0%
US model (GFS)59°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)63°37°0%
German model (ICON)60°38°0%
Canadian model (GEM)62°32°0%
The average61°35°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 59°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service61°32°0%
US model (GFS)58°39°0%
European model (ECMWF)60°34°0%
German model (ICON)58°38°0%
Canadian model (GEM)58°27°0%
The average59°34°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 57°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service58°34°0%
US model (GFS)54°36°0%
European model (ECMWF)57°36°0%
German model (ICON)56°37°0%
Canadian model (GEM)59°28°0%
The average57°34°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.