Minority Report

Convent, LA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of St. James Parish.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 76°   Low 53°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—48°0%
US model (GFS)76°56°0%
European model (ECMWF)75°56°0%
German model (ICON)76°54°0%
Canadian model (GEM)77°52°0%
The average76°53°0%

Friday, November 13

High 69°   Low 46°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service69°41°0%
US model (GFS)70°48°0%
European model (ECMWF)67°49°0%
German model (ICON)69°45°0%
Canadian model (GEM)72°47°0%
The average69°46°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 61°   Low 42°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service60°42°0%
US model (GFS)62°42°0%
European model (ECMWF)58°45°0%
German model (ICON)63°39°0%
Canadian model (GEM)62°42°0%
The average61°42°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 66°   Low 47°   Rain 31%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 25 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 44% against a group average of 31%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service65°50°43%
US model (GFS)69°48°25%
European model (ECMWF)63°49°44%
German model (ICON)66°45°24%
Canadian model (GEM)69°42°19%
The average66°47°31%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.