Minority Report

Conway, SC — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Horry County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 76°   Low 53°   Rain 3%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 10 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—44°0%
US model (GFS)76°55°0%
European model (ECMWF)76°56°10%
German model (ICON)76°54°0%
Canadian model (GEM)76°56°5%
The average76°53°3%

Friday, November 13

High 62°   Low 43°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service64°38°0%
US model (GFS)61°45°1%
European model (ECMWF)61°47°1%
German model (ICON)61°40°0%
Canadian model (GEM)62°46°0%
The average62°43°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 57°   Low 37°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°32°0%
US model (GFS)57°37°1%
European model (ECMWF)56°42°0%
German model (ICON)56°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)57°36°0%
The average57°37°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 57°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°34°0%
US model (GFS)58°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)56°37°0%
German model (ICON)58°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)55°30°0%
The average57°33°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.