Minority Report

Cooperstown, NY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Otsego County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 43°   Low 32°   Rain 99%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 3 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—26°97%
US model (GFS)42°33°100%
European model (ECMWF)43°34°100%
German model (ICON)44°34°100%
Canadian model (GEM)44°34°100%
The average43°32°99%

Friday, November 13

High 35°   Low 28°   Rain 95%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 23 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 77% against a group average of 95%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service37°23°77%
US model (GFS)35°28°98%
European model (ECMWF)36°30°100%
German model (ICON)34°32°100%
Canadian model (GEM)34°28°100%
The average35°28°95%

Saturday, November 14

High 36°   Low 28°   Rain 59%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 44 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 84% against a group average of 59%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service38°26°41%
US model (GFS)34°27°40%
European model (ECMWF)37°28°84%
German model (ICON)36°31°48%
Canadian model (GEM)36°31°81%
The average36°28°59%

Sunday, November 15

High 37°   Low 30°   Rain 30%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 35 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 11% against a group average of 30%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service39°27°25%
US model (GFS)34°25°29%
European model (ECMWF)37°33°40%
German model (ICON)37°34°11%
Canadian model (GEM)37°32°46%
The average37°30°30%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.