Minority Report

Copper River Census Area, AK — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Copper River Census Area.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 6°   Low -3°   Rain 62%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 12°, rain spread 97 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 3% against a group average of 62%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service14°-4°10%
US model (GFS)6°-5°3%
European model (ECMWF)3°-6°100%
German model (ICON)6°3°98%
Canadian model (GEM)2°-2°100%
The average6°-3°62%

Friday, November 13

High 5°   Low -4°   Rain 31%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 49 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 3% against a group average of 31%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service1°-6°52%
US model (GFS)7°-6°3%
European model (ECMWF)4°-5°21%
German model (ICON)6°1°33%
Canadian model (GEM)6°-1°45%
The average5°-4°31%

Saturday, November 14

High 12°   Low 5°   Rain 68%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 71 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 27% against a group average of 68%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service8°5°48%
US model (GFS)11°6°27%
European model (ECMWF)13°5°98%
German model (ICON)14°6°85%
Canadian model (GEM)14°4°81%
The average12°5°68%

Sunday, November 15

High 15°   Low 9°   Rain 55%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 71 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 17% against a group average of 55%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service10°4°35%
US model (GFS)16°10°17%
European model (ECMWF)15°8°88%
German model (ICON)17°12°72%
Canadian model (GEM)17°9°64%
The average15°9°55%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.