Minority Report

Corsicana, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Navarro County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 78°   Low 50°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—49°0%
US model (GFS)78°51°0%
European model (ECMWF)78°52°0%
German model (ICON)78°50°0%
Canadian model (GEM)77°48°0%
The average78°50°0%

Friday, November 13

High 69°   Low 49°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service69°47°1%
US model (GFS)68°50°0%
European model (ECMWF)69°53°0%
German model (ICON)67°49°0%
Canadian model (GEM)71°46°0%
The average69°49°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 64°   Low 48°   Rain 39%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 55 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 6% against a group average of 39%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service64°48°50%
US model (GFS)66°46°23%
European model (ECMWF)66°50°61%
German model (ICON)59°47°56%
Canadian model (GEM)67°50°6%
The average64°48°39%

Sunday, November 15

High 55°   Low 47°   Rain 92%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 9°, rain spread 24 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 76% against a group average of 92%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°46°92%
US model (GFS)58°48°76%
European model (ECMWF)54°47°98%
German model (ICON)50°46°100%
Canadian model (GEM)58°48°95%
The average55°47°92%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.