Minority Report

Cortez, CO — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Montezuma County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 60°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—29°0%
US model (GFS)59°28°0%
European model (ECMWF)60°35°0%
German model (ICON)60°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)60°26°0%
The average60°30°0%

Friday, November 13

High 58°   Low 32°   Rain 59%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 69 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 98% against a group average of 59%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°34°98%
US model (GFS)60°35°29%
European model (ECMWF)57°35°71%
German model (ICON)56°33°55%
Canadian model (GEM)57°25°40%
The average58°32°59%

Saturday, November 14

High 45°   Low 32°   Rain 98%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 7 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°27°98%
US model (GFS)45°36°93%
European model (ECMWF)44°33°100%
German model (ICON)46°37°100%
Canadian model (GEM)44°28°100%
The average45°32°98%

Sunday, November 15

High 49°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°28°0%
US model (GFS)48°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)51°31°0%
German model (ICON)50°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°23°0%
The average49°29°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.