Cortland, NY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Cortland County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 44° Low 32° Rain 100%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 2 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 24° | 98% |
| US model (GFS) | 44° | 34° | 100% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 44° | 34° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 45° | 32° | 100% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 44° | 33° | 100% |
| The average | 44° | 32° | 100% |
High 36° Low 29° Rain 95%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 19 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 38° | 23° | 81% |
| US model (GFS) | 35° | 28° | 95% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 35° | 31° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 35° | 31° | 98% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 35° | 31° | 100% |
| The average | 36° | 29° | 95% |
High 37° Low 31° Rain 90%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 19 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 39° | 26° | 82% |
| US model (GFS) | 35° | 31° | 81% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 37° | 32° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 38° | 33° | 88% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 37° | 32° | 100% |
| The average | 37° | 31° | 90% |
High 38° Low 32° Rain 81%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 31 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 41° | 28° | 72% |
| US model (GFS) | 35° | 33° | 81% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 38° | 34° | 90% |
| German model (ICON) | 39° | 35° | 66% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 39° | 32° | 97% |
| The average | 38° | 32° | 81% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.