Minority Report

Corunna, MI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Shiawassee County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 47°   Low 36°   Rain 69%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 84 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 16% against a group average of 69%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—31°16%
US model (GFS)46°37°56%
European model (ECMWF)48°38°100%
German model (ICON)46°37°90%
Canadian model (GEM)46°36°81%
The average47°36°69%

Friday, November 13

High 40°   Low 31°   Rain 18%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 25 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 33% against a group average of 18%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°27°17%
US model (GFS)39°32°17%
European model (ECMWF)41°34°33%
German model (ICON)41°32°8%
Canadian model (GEM)38°30°14%
The average40°31°18%

Saturday, November 14

High 43°   Low 31°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°32°0%
US model (GFS)41°31°2%
European model (ECMWF)44°30°0%
German model (ICON)46°30°1%
Canadian model (GEM)42°32°0%
The average43°31°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 44°   Low 32°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°29°0%
US model (GFS)46°36°0%
European model (ECMWF)42°33°0%
German model (ICON)45°36°3%
Canadian model (GEM)43°27°0%
The average44°32°1%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.