Minority Report

Corvallis, OR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Benton County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 56°   Low 47°   Rain 18%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 83 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 83% against a group average of 18%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—43°83%
US model (GFS)56°46°3%
European model (ECMWF)56°48°0%
German model (ICON)55°48°3%
Canadian model (GEM)56°48°1%
The average56°47°18%

Friday, November 13

High 56°   Low 46°   Rain 96%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 18 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 82% against a group average of 96%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°44°100%
US model (GFS)53°45°82%
European model (ECMWF)57°46°100%
German model (ICON)58°47°100%
Canadian model (GEM)55°48°100%
The average56°46°96%

Saturday, November 14

High 58°   Low 48°   Rain 94%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 11 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°45°97%
US model (GFS)56°47°89%
European model (ECMWF)61°47°93%
German model (ICON)60°51°90%
Canadian model (GEM)57°49°100%
The average58°48°94%

Sunday, November 15

High 54°   Low 44°   Rain 97%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 10 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°39°97%
US model (GFS)54°43°90%
European model (ECMWF)55°45°100%
German model (ICON)54°46°98%
Canadian model (GEM)55°46°100%
The average54°44°97%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.