Minority Report

Corydon, IN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Harrison County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 54°   Low 39°   Rain 54%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 77 points, 3 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 94% against a group average of 54%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—37°17%
US model (GFS)54°39°44%
European model (ECMWF)53°42°94%
Canadian model (GEM)55°38°62%
The average54°39°54%

Friday, November 13

High 46°   Low 34°   Rain 40%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 42 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 64% against a group average of 40%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°29°40%
US model (GFS)45°34°22%
European model (ECMWF)46°37°64%
Canadian model (GEM)46°35°33%
The average46°34°40%

Saturday, November 14

High 49°   Low 28°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 2 points, 4 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°25°0%
US model (GFS)49°32°2%
European model (ECMWF)48°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°25°2%
The average49°28°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 51°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°27°0%
US model (GFS)53°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)50°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)50°22°0%
The average51°29°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.