Minority Report

Cottonwood Falls, KS — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Chase County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 55°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—28°0%
US model (GFS)55°36°0%
European model (ECMWF)55°37°0%
German model (ICON)54°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)57°32°0%
The average55°33°0%

Friday, November 13

High 48°   Low 26°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°26°0%
US model (GFS)47°26°0%
European model (ECMWF)47°31°0%
German model (ICON)47°25°0%
Canadian model (GEM)49°23°0%
The average48°26°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 50°   Low 27°   Rain 2%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 7 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°34°7%
US model (GFS)49°22°1%
European model (ECMWF)49°30°0%
German model (ICON)51°27°3%
Canadian model (GEM)51°20°0%
The average50°27°2%

Sunday, November 15

High 50°   Low 35°   Rain 15%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 18 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 25% against a group average of 15%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°32°16%
US model (GFS)47°40°13%
European model (ECMWF)51°33°7%
German model (ICON)52°34°13%
Canadian model (GEM)48°36°25%
The average50°35°15%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.