Minority Report

Cotulla, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of La Salle County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 79°   Low 56°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 2 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—51°0%
US model (GFS)80°57°0%
European model (ECMWF)78°59°2%
German model (ICON)77°60°0%
Canadian model (GEM)80°54°0%
The average79°56°0%

Friday, November 13

High 76°   Low 53°   Rain 3%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 13 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 13% against a group average of 3%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service76°56°13%
US model (GFS)76°55°1%
European model (ECMWF)77°53°0%
German model (ICON)75°53°0%
Canadian model (GEM)77°46°0%
The average76°53°3%

Saturday, November 14

High 75°   Low 59°   Rain 43%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 9°, rain spread 36 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 61% against a group average of 43%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service73°63°25%
US model (GFS)73°59°46%
European model (ECMWF)75°59°61%
German model (ICON)72°59°53%
Canadian model (GEM)81°55°29%
The average75°59°43%

Sunday, November 15

High 78°   Low 62°   Rain 37%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 47 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 63% against a group average of 37%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service75°57°16%
US model (GFS)78°66°23%
European model (ECMWF)78°59°63%
German model (ICON)77°64°25%
Canadian model (GEM)81°65°57%
The average78°62°37%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.