Minority Report

Coudersport, PA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Potter County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 45°   Low 33°   Rain 91%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 37 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 63% against a group average of 91%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—27°63%
US model (GFS)44°34°95%
European model (ECMWF)46°36°100%
German model (ICON)45°34°95%
Canadian model (GEM)46°35°100%
The average45°33°91%

Friday, November 13

High 35°   Low 30°   Rain 63%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 62 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 30% against a group average of 63%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service35°27°35%
US model (GFS)34°32°30%
European model (ECMWF)36°32°92%
German model (ICON)34°31°75%
Canadian model (GEM)35°31°81%
The average35°30°63%

Saturday, November 14

High 38°   Low 31°   Rain 45%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 36 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 67% against a group average of 45%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service38°29°37%
US model (GFS)37°32°31%
European model (ECMWF)39°30°46%
German model (ICON)38°31°43%
Canadian model (GEM)38°31°67%
The average38°31°45%

Sunday, November 15

High 37°   Low 30°   Rain 40%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 35 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 64% against a group average of 40%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service38°27°32%
US model (GFS)37°25°31%
European model (ECMWF)38°34°46%
German model (ICON)37°33°29%
Canadian model (GEM)38°31°64%
The average37°30°40%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.