Minority Report

Council Grove, KS — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Morris County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 53°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—28°0%
US model (GFS)53°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)52°36°0%
German model (ICON)52°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)55°33°0%
The average53°33°0%

Friday, November 13

High 47°   Low 27°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°26°0%
US model (GFS)45°25°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°30°0%
German model (ICON)46°26°0%
Canadian model (GEM)47°27°0%
The average47°27°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 49°   Low 28°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°34°5%
US model (GFS)48°21°0%
European model (ECMWF)47°30°0%
German model (ICON)50°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)49°24°0%
The average49°28°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 50°   Low 34°   Rain 12%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 25 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 25% against a group average of 12%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°31°13%
US model (GFS)50°39°11%
European model (ECMWF)51°32°0%
German model (ICON)52°34°11%
Canadian model (GEM)49°34°25%
The average50°34°12%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.