Minority Report

Council, ID — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Adams County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 59°   Low 36°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—37°0%
US model (GFS)58°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)60°36°0%
German model (ICON)61°39°0%
Canadian model (GEM)58°35°0%
The average59°36°0%

Friday, November 13

High 62°   Low 38°   Rain 89%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 20 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 78% against a group average of 89%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service64°39°98%
US model (GFS)64°40°89%
European model (ECMWF)60°38°90%
German model (ICON)62°36°78%
Canadian model (GEM)59°35°90%
The average62°38°89%

Saturday, November 14

High 51°   Low 38°   Rain 81%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 68 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 32% against a group average of 81%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°34°32%
US model (GFS)50°40°85%
European model (ECMWF)50°40°100%
German model (ICON)50°41°88%
Canadian model (GEM)52°33°99%
The average51°38°81%

Sunday, November 15

High 52°   Low 38°   Rain 60%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 41 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 34% against a group average of 60%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°37°74%
US model (GFS)51°39°34%
European model (ECMWF)53°40°61%
German model (ICON)51°42°75%
Canadian model (GEM)50°32°57%
The average52°38°60%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.