Minority Report

Covington, GA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Newton County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 67°   Low 46°   Rain 15%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 43 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 43% against a group average of 15%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—39°0%
US model (GFS)67°48°14%
European model (ECMWF)67°52°43%
German model (ICON)67°45°10%
Canadian model (GEM)68°47°6%
The average67°46°15%

Friday, November 13

High 53°   Low 39°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°35°0%
US model (GFS)54°39°0%
European model (ECMWF)51°42°0%
German model (ICON)54°39°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°39°0%
The average53°39°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 55°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°30°0%
US model (GFS)56°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)54°38°0%
German model (ICON)56°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°32°0%
The average55°34°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 57°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service58°33°1%
US model (GFS)59°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)54°33°0%
German model (ICON)57°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)55°26°0%
The average57°31°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.