Minority Report

Covington, IN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Fountain County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 48°   Low 36°   Rain 34%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 48 points, 3 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 9% against a group average of 34%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—33°33%
US model (GFS)46°36°9%
European model (ECMWF)50°39°39%
Canadian model (GEM)47°38°57%
The average48°36°34%

Friday, November 13

High 42°   Low 34°   Rain 27%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 19 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 16% against a group average of 27%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°29°25%
US model (GFS)43°35°16%
European model (ECMWF)43°36°35%
Canadian model (GEM)41°36°33%
The average42°34°27%

Saturday, November 14

High 47°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 2 points, 4 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°23°0%
US model (GFS)47°34°2%
European model (ECMWF)48°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)46°25°0%
The average47°28°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 49°   Low 27°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°27°0%
US model (GFS)50°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)49°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°20°0%
The average49°27°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.