Minority Report

Covington, VA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Covington city.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 58°   Low 41°   Rain 41%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 69 points, 3 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 6% against a group average of 41%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—34°6%
US model (GFS)59°40°22%
German model (ICON)58°45°75%
Canadian model (GEM)59°44°62%
The average58°41°41%

Friday, November 13

High 48°   Low 34°   Rain 4%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 3 points, 4 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°27°6%
US model (GFS)47°33°3%
German model (ICON)48°38°3%
Canadian model (GEM)50°38°6%
The average48°34°4%

Saturday, November 14

High 44°   Low 30°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 2 points, 4 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°26°1%
US model (GFS)44°27°2%
German model (ICON)43°37°0%
Canadian model (GEM)44°29°0%
The average44°30°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 49°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°25°0%
US model (GFS)49°35°0%
German model (ICON)49°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°32°0%
The average49°32°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.