Minority Report

Craig, CO — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Moffat County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 58°   Low 25°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—23°0%
US model (GFS)59°22°0%
European model (ECMWF)55°27°0%
German model (ICON)58°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)59°21°0%
The average58°25°0%

Friday, November 13

High 59°   Low 28°   Rain 5%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 24 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 24% against a group average of 5%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service60°27°24%
US model (GFS)60°32°1%
European model (ECMWF)57°29°0%
German model (ICON)59°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)58°22°0%
The average59°28°5%

Saturday, November 14

High 51°   Low 31°   Rain 48%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 44 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 72% against a group average of 48%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°28°39%
US model (GFS)51°33°49%
European model (ECMWF)47°31°28%
German model (ICON)53°35°53%
Canadian model (GEM)50°28°72%
The average51°31°48%

Sunday, November 15

High 51°   Low 30°   Rain 18%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 39 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 40% against a group average of 18%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°24°1%
US model (GFS)50°34°6%
European model (ECMWF)51°32°24%
German model (ICON)51°34°17%
Canadian model (GEM)50°26°40%
The average51°30°18%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.