Minority Report

Crandon, WI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Forest County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 36°   Low 28°   Rain 12%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 22 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 25% against a group average of 12%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—25°25%
US model (GFS)35°28°7%
European model (ECMWF)36°30°9%
German model (ICON)37°27°3%
Canadian model (GEM)34°29°14%
The average36°28°12%

Friday, November 13

High 35°   Low 26°   Rain 3%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 8 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service35°25°6%
US model (GFS)34°26°2%
European model (ECMWF)36°28°8%
German model (ICON)36°26°0%
Canadian model (GEM)33°27°0%
The average35°26°3%

Saturday, November 14

High 39°   Low 25°   Rain 2%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 10 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service39°23°1%
US model (GFS)39°26°10%
European model (ECMWF)38°29°0%
German model (ICON)39°27°0%
Canadian model (GEM)40°21°0%
The average39°25°2%

Sunday, November 15

High 43°   Low 24°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°23°0%
US model (GFS)43°26°0%
European model (ECMWF)44°26°0%
German model (ICON)44°24°0%
Canadian model (GEM)43°21°0%
The average43°24°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.