Minority Report

Crane, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Crane County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 71°   Low 48°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—50°0%
US model (GFS)70°49°0%
European model (ECMWF)70°50°0%
German model (ICON)70°49°0%
Canadian model (GEM)72°43°0%
The average71°48°0%

Friday, November 13

High 71°   Low 50°   Rain 33%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 58 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 71% against a group average of 33%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service71°54°71%
US model (GFS)70°49°25%
European model (ECMWF)71°48°15%
German model (ICON)70°51°13%
Canadian model (GEM)74°45°42%
The average71°50°33%

Saturday, November 14

High 68°   Low 53°   Rain 67%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 76 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 24% against a group average of 67%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service66°54°24%
US model (GFS)67°53°71%
European model (ECMWF)69°52°100%
German model (ICON)69°55°80%
Canadian model (GEM)71°52°58%
The average68°53°67%

Sunday, November 15

High 67°   Low 48°   Rain 13%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 33 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 33% against a group average of 13%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service65°47°0%
US model (GFS)70°50°18%
European model (ECMWF)64°48°33%
German model (ICON)69°50°8%
Canadian model (GEM)68°42°5%
The average67°48°13%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.