Crawfordsville, IN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Montgomery County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 48° Low 37° Rain 47%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 73 points, 3 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 33° | 33% |
| US model (GFS) | 46° | 36° | 14% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 50° | 40° | 54% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 48° | 37° | 87% |
| The average | 48° | 37° | 47% |
High 42° Low 32° Rain 29%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 26 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 43° | 29° | 27% |
| US model (GFS) | 42° | 33° | 13% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 42° | 35° | 38% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 40° | 32° | 39% |
| The average | 42° | 32° | 29% |
High 46° Low 28° Rain 2%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 4 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 46° | 25° | 1% |
| US model (GFS) | 47° | 31° | 2% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 47° | 30° | 1% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 45° | 26° | 5% |
| The average | 46° | 28° | 2% |
High 48° Low 27° Rain 0%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 49° | 28° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 49° | 33° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 48° | 28° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 47° | 20° | 0% |
| The average | 48° | 27° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.