Minority Report

Creede, CO — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Mineral County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 53°   Low 25°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—26°0%
US model (GFS)54°24°0%
European model (ECMWF)55°25°0%
German model (ICON)54°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)49°18°0%
The average53°25°0%

Friday, November 13

High 47°   Low 28°   Rain 30%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 81 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 88% against a group average of 30%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°32°88%
US model (GFS)49°33°7%
European model (ECMWF)48°23°16%
German model (ICON)45°34°8%
Canadian model (GEM)45°18°29%
The average47°28°30%

Saturday, November 14

High 41°   Low 27°   Rain 84%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 38 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 62% against a group average of 84%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service40°26°88%
US model (GFS)40°26°62%
European model (ECMWF)42°29°85%
German model (ICON)41°33°83%
Canadian model (GEM)40°21°100%
The average41°27°84%

Sunday, November 15

High 45°   Low 23°   Rain 2%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 7 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°25°0%
US model (GFS)43°24°1%
European model (ECMWF)48°21°0%
German model (ICON)46°31°7%
Canadian model (GEM)44°16°0%
The average45°23°2%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.