Minority Report

Crescent City, CA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Del Norte County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 63°   Low 52°   Rain 65%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 85 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 15% against a group average of 65%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—52°100%
US model (GFS)64°53°15%
European model (ECMWF)63°55°67%
German model (ICON)63°49°50%
Canadian model (GEM)62°50°95%
The average63°52°65%

Friday, November 13

High 61°   Low 51°   Rain 100%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°48°100%
US model (GFS)58°50°100%
European model (ECMWF)62°53°100%
German model (ICON)64°53°100%
Canadian model (GEM)61°50°100%
The average61°51°100%

Saturday, November 14

High 60°   Low 52°   Rain 98%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 10 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service60°47°100%
US model (GFS)59°52°98%
European model (ECMWF)61°54°100%
German model (ICON)60°54°90%
Canadian model (GEM)59°52°100%
The average60°52°98%

Sunday, November 15

High 56°   Low 47°   Rain 100%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°44°100%
US model (GFS)52°44°100%
European model (ECMWF)59°50°100%
German model (ICON)56°48°100%
Canadian model (GEM)58°50°100%
The average56°47°100%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.