Minority Report

Cresco, IA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Howard County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 38°   Low 29°   Rain 9%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 20 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 20% against a group average of 9%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—25°1%
US model (GFS)37°31°0%
European model (ECMWF)39°32°12%
German model (ICON)39°30°20%
Canadian model (GEM)38°27°14%
The average38°29°9%

Friday, November 13

High 37°   Low 25°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service38°22°0%
US model (GFS)36°31°0%
European model (ECMWF)37°26°0%
German model (ICON)38°26°0%
Canadian model (GEM)38°23°0%
The average37°25°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 41°   Low 25°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°25°0%
US model (GFS)42°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)40°25°0%
German model (ICON)41°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)40°20°0%
The average41°25°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 44°   Low 26°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°27°0%
US model (GFS)46°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)44°27°0%
German model (ICON)45°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)43°17°0%
The average44°26°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.