Minority Report

Cripple Creek, CO — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Teller County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 52°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—31°0%
US model (GFS)52°29°0%
European model (ECMWF)50°24°0%
German model (ICON)52°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)53°27°0%
The average52°28°0%

Friday, November 13

High 50°   Low 30°   Rain 4%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 19 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 19% against a group average of 4%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°28°19%
US model (GFS)50°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)48°27°0%
German model (ICON)49°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)50°26°0%
The average50°30°4%

Saturday, November 14

High 40°   Low 27°   Rain 61%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 45 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 38% against a group average of 61%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°26°62%
US model (GFS)40°27°55%
European model (ECMWF)38°28°69%
German model (ICON)38°29°83%
Canadian model (GEM)41°23°38%
The average40°27°61%

Sunday, November 15

High 42°   Low 25°   Rain 24%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 48 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 49% against a group average of 24%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service41°25°1%
US model (GFS)41°26°23%
European model (ECMWF)41°24°20%
German model (ICON)42°26°49%
Canadian model (GEM)43°23°25%
The average42°25°24%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.