Minority Report

Crosby, ND — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Divide County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 41°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—32°0%
US model (GFS)39°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)43°33°0%
German model (ICON)41°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)42°32°0%
The average41°33°0%

Friday, November 13

High 44°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 9°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°28°0%
US model (GFS)38°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°32°0%
German model (ICON)45°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)46°31°0%
The average44°32°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 48°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°31°0%
US model (GFS)49°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)47°33°0%
German model (ICON)47°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)50°32°0%
The average48°33°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 53°   Low 35°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°34°0%
US model (GFS)56°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)53°35°0%
German model (ICON)53°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)53°36°0%
The average53°35°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.