Minority Report

Crosbyton, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Crosby County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 72°   Low 42°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—44°0%
US model (GFS)72°42°0%
European model (ECMWF)72°41°0%
German model (ICON)72°40°0%
Canadian model (GEM)71°41°0%
The average72°42°0%

Friday, November 13

High 63°   Low 44°   Rain 2%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 10 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service61°44°10%
US model (GFS)67°46°0%
European model (ECMWF)63°45°0%
German model (ICON)59°44°0%
Canadian model (GEM)64°40°0%
The average63°44°2%

Saturday, November 14

High 54°   Low 45°   Rain 85%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 10°, rain spread 25 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 72% against a group average of 85%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°45°72%
US model (GFS)60°42°79%
European model (ECMWF)50°46°97%
German model (ICON)53°47°80%
Canadian model (GEM)53°43°96%
The average54°45°85%

Sunday, November 15

High 53°   Low 41°   Rain 50%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 12°, rain spread 71 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 8% against a group average of 50%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°38°8%
US model (GFS)61°45°79%
European model (ECMWF)49°42°49%
German model (ICON)52°42°58%
Canadian model (GEM)51°38°57%
The average53°41°50%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.