Minority Report

Crossville, TN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Cumberland County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 55°   Low 37°   Rain 60%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 94 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 6% against a group average of 60%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—29°6%
US model (GFS)57°41°28%
European model (ECMWF)55°39°100%
German model (ICON)55°40°68%
Canadian model (GEM)54°38°100%
The average55°37°60%

Friday, November 13

High 41°   Low 32°   Rain 26%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 55 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 58% against a group average of 26%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°27°22%
US model (GFS)41°34°6%
European model (ECMWF)40°34°58%
German model (ICON)44°33°3%
Canadian model (GEM)39°29°43%
The average41°32°26%

Saturday, November 14

High 43°   Low 28°   Rain 13%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 43 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 43% against a group average of 13%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°24°0%
US model (GFS)43°31°2%
European model (ECMWF)42°32°18%
German model (ICON)45°32°3%
Canadian model (GEM)42°22°43%
The average43°28°13%

Sunday, November 15

High 49°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°26°1%
US model (GFS)49°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)49°30°0%
German model (ICON)50°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°21°0%
The average49°28°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.