Minority Report

Crowell, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Foard County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 77°   Low 47°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—46°0%
US model (GFS)76°49°0%
European model (ECMWF)75°49°0%
German model (ICON)78°46°0%
Canadian model (GEM)77°45°0%
The average77°47°0%

Friday, November 13

High 63°   Low 46°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service62°46°0%
US model (GFS)63°47°0%
European model (ECMWF)62°47°0%
German model (ICON)62°45°0%
Canadian model (GEM)64°43°0%
The average63°46°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 56°   Low 44°   Rain 92%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 12°, rain spread 14 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service58°48°95%
US model (GFS)64°40°87%
European model (ECMWF)52°46°100%
German model (ICON)55°44°93%
Canadian model (GEM)53°42°86%
The average56°44°92%

Sunday, November 15

High 53°   Low 44°   Rain 85%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 12°, rain spread 49 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 51% against a group average of 85%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°43°51%
US model (GFS)59°45°87%
European model (ECMWF)50°45°100%
German model (ICON)48°44°98%
Canadian model (GEM)53°42°90%
The average53°44°85%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.