Minority Report

Crowley, LA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Acadia Parish.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 76°   Low 55°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—51°0%
US model (GFS)75°55°0%
European model (ECMWF)75°59°0%
German model (ICON)76°56°0%
Canadian model (GEM)78°53°0%
The average76°55°0%

Friday, November 13

High 70°   Low 48°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service71°45°0%
US model (GFS)68°48°0%
European model (ECMWF)68°51°0%
German model (ICON)68°48°0%
Canadian model (GEM)73°48°0%
The average70°48°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 64°   Low 43°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service63°46°1%
US model (GFS)65°41°0%
European model (ECMWF)62°45°5%
German model (ICON)64°40°0%
Canadian model (GEM)65°44°0%
The average64°43°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 67°   Low 47°   Rain 60%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 9°, rain spread 30 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 76% against a group average of 60%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service68°50°67%
US model (GFS)69°47°46%
European model (ECMWF)62°49°76%
German model (ICON)68°46°56%
Canadian model (GEM)70°44°55%
The average67°47°60%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.