Minority Report

Crown Point, IN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Lake County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 46°   Low 36°   Rain 90%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 34 points, 3 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 66% against a group average of 90%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—34°100%
US model (GFS)47°36°66%
European model (ECMWF)47°39°100%
Canadian model (GEM)45°36°94%
The average46°36°90%

Friday, November 13

High 39°   Low 33°   Rain 94%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 25 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 75% against a group average of 94%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service37°33°100%
US model (GFS)40°32°75%
European model (ECMWF)40°36°100%
Canadian model (GEM)38°32°100%
The average39°33°94%

Saturday, November 14

High 44°   Low 31°   Rain 61%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 93 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 7% against a group average of 61%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°30°7%
US model (GFS)46°32°51%
European model (ECMWF)42°37°100%
Canadian model (GEM)41°27°86%
The average44°31°61%

Sunday, November 15

High 47°   Low 30°   Rain 3%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 10 points, 4 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°30°0%
US model (GFS)48°36°1%
European model (ECMWF)46°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)45°24°10%
The average47°30°3%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.