Minority Report

Crystal City, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Zavala County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 77°   Low 55°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 2 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—51°0%
US model (GFS)78°57°0%
European model (ECMWF)77°57°2%
German model (ICON)77°59°0%
Canadian model (GEM)77°54°0%
The average77°55°0%

Friday, November 13

High 74°   Low 52°   Rain 2%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 9 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service74°55°9%
US model (GFS)73°55°1%
European model (ECMWF)75°55°0%
German model (ICON)75°54°0%
Canadian model (GEM)76°43°0%
The average74°52°2%

Saturday, November 14

High 73°   Low 58°   Rain 40%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 9°, rain spread 44 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 63% against a group average of 40%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service71°61°37%
US model (GFS)71°58°30%
European model (ECMWF)73°58°63%
German model (ICON)72°59°50%
Canadian model (GEM)80°56°19%
The average73°58°40%

Sunday, November 15

High 77°   Low 61°   Rain 37%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 47 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 11% against a group average of 37%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service73°56°11%
US model (GFS)76°65°24%
European model (ECMWF)78°59°57%
German model (ICON)78°64°37%
Canadian model (GEM)81°63°58%
The average77°61°37%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.