Minority Report

Culebra Municipio, PR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Culebra Municipio.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 84°   Low 81°   Rain 43%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 77 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 83% against a group average of 43%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—79°50%
US model (GFS)84°82°83%
European model (ECMWF)85°82°53%
German model (ICON)84°82°25%
Canadian model (GEM)85°82°6%
The average84°81°43%

Friday, November 13

High 85°   Low 81°   Rain 25%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 47 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 53% against a group average of 25%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service87°78°30%
US model (GFS)84°82°20%
European model (ECMWF)85°82°53%
German model (ICON)85°82°18%
Canadian model (GEM)86°82°6%
The average85°81°25%

Saturday, November 14

High 84°   Low 81°   Rain 27%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 50 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 0% against a group average of 27%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service86°78°50%
US model (GFS)84°82°10%
European model (ECMWF)84°82°48%
German model (ICON)84°83°28%
Canadian model (GEM)86°81°0%
The average84°81°27%

Sunday, November 15

High 84°   Low 81°   Rain 9%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 13 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service87°78°10%
US model (GFS)84°82°6%
European model (ECMWF)83°82°3%
German model (ICON)84°82°16%
Canadian model (GEM)85°80°11%
The average84°81°9%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.