Minority Report

Cullman, AL — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Cullman County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 63°   Low 43°   Rain 44%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 94 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 96% against a group average of 44%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—33°2%
US model (GFS)63°46°19%
European model (ECMWF)63°46°96%
German model (ICON)62°45°30%
Canadian model (GEM)64°47°71%
The average63°43°44%

Friday, November 13

High 50°   Low 35°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°30°0%
US model (GFS)49°36°0%
European model (ECMWF)49°38°0%
German model (ICON)51°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)50°36°0%
The average50°35°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 52°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°28°0%
US model (GFS)52°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)51°36°0%
German model (ICON)53°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)51°31°0%
The average52°32°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 55°   Low 31°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°33°2%
US model (GFS)55°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)55°34°0%
German model (ICON)56°29°3%
Canadian model (GEM)54°26°0%
The average55°31°1%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.