Cumberland, MD — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Allegany County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 55° Low 42° Rain 60%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 80 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 37° | 20% |
| US model (GFS) | 53° | 41° | 33% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 55° | 45° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 56° | 45° | 100% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 56° | 45° | 46% |
| The average | 55° | 42° | 60% |
High 46° Low 36° Rain 18%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 25 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 44° | 31° | 29% |
| US model (GFS) | 45° | 32° | 4% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 46° | 39° | 17% |
| German model (ICON) | 47° | 37° | 28% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 49° | 41° | 14% |
| The average | 46° | 36° | 18% |
High 45° Low 35° Rain 12%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 15 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 46° | 34° | 14% |
| US model (GFS) | 45° | 30° | 11% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 44° | 37° | 18% |
| German model (ICON) | 46° | 35° | 3% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 47° | 38° | 14% |
| The average | 45° | 35° | 12% |
High 47° Low 38° Rain 6%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 11 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 48° | 32° | 11% |
| US model (GFS) | 45° | 38° | 4% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 47° | 41° | 10% |
| German model (ICON) | 48° | 39° | 3% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 48° | 38° | 0% |
| The average | 47° | 38° | 6% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.