Minority Report

Custer, SD — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Custer County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 60°   Low 38°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—35°0%
US model (GFS)63°40°0%
European model (ECMWF)56°39°0%
German model (ICON)62°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)60°40°0%
The average60°38°0%

Friday, November 13

High 59°   Low 35°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°33°0%
US model (GFS)58°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)59°38°0%
German model (ICON)61°38°0%
Canadian model (GEM)62°34°0%
The average59°35°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 49°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 13°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°34°2%
US model (GFS)46°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)44°37°0%
German model (ICON)56°37°0%
Canadian model (GEM)47°31°0%
The average49°34°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 56°   Low 37°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°35°1%
US model (GFS)56°38°1%
European model (ECMWF)57°39°0%
German model (ICON)58°39°0%
Canadian model (GEM)56°37°0%
The average56°37°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.