Minority Report

Cynthiana, KY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Harrison County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 55°   Low 41°   Rain 57%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 56 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 91% against a group average of 57%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—38°43%
US model (GFS)54°40°37%
European model (ECMWF)54°44°78%
German model (ICON)55°42°35%
Canadian model (GEM)55°42°91%
The average55°41°57%

Friday, November 13

High 45°   Low 34°   Rain 55%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 36 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 37% against a group average of 55%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°28°38%
US model (GFS)45°32°37%
European model (ECMWF)46°38°73%
German model (ICON)45°36°60%
Canadian model (GEM)44°38°67%
The average45°34°55%

Saturday, November 14

High 46°   Low 31°   Rain 3%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°28°4%
US model (GFS)47°31°2%
European model (ECMWF)46°34°0%
German model (ICON)46°33°3%
Canadian model (GEM)45°30°5%
The average46°31°3%

Sunday, November 15

High 48°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°27°0%
US model (GFS)48°40°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°38°0%
German model (ICON)51°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)47°25°0%
The average48°33°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.